Tag Archives: election

Is Trump More About Media Attention than Policy?

I don’t know, but people are saying, people are talking about Trump these days…they are talking about him—Donald Trump—a lot, and these are people who know a thing or two, even his pals at Fox News,…they are talking about how he’s just, you know, I don’t know, playing the media. Even the Rush-kin said it, way back in December of 2015, saying that he was going to explain “how it is that Donald Trump owns the media.”

So, do you wonder if his campaign isn’t really about public policy, but more about airtime, clicks, audience? Do you think, maybe, he figures he wins if he loses and he wins if he wins? Laughing all the way to the bank?

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Filed under Notes and comments, Politics

Throw out which DC officials?

Are you aghast about, alarmed by, or just plain ticked off with the elected officials in Washington? Do you find yourself wondering what they must be thinking? Do you wonder why we elected some of them?

Whom would you dismiss from the US government?

I’ve got a little poll running for the next couple of days here. You may select multiple individuals. So, take a couple of seconds, scan the list of contenders. Note that you can only vote one time, but you can (as I indicated) vote for more than one individual when you vote—in fact, you can recommend they all go!

This is a time-limited poll. It’ll close on Saturday. Sorry you can’t vote often, but you may vote early! You can tell your your Republican’t or Spendocrat pals to vote, too; just send ’em this link: http://bit.ly/1hXtKDW (sorry, a previously posted link was wrong).

Your votes are anonymous, but you are welcome to—ahem—expose yourself (or not) in the comments section. For example, you could wonder why I omitted certain dead people from the options.

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Filed under Amusements, News, Notes and comments, Politics

Data > BS

It’s easy to doubt this equation in the political season, but BSers are common on TV and in the newspapers.

Well, The data folx are getting their due, as Nate Silver, Drew Linzer, Daryl Homlman, and especially, Sam Wang get recognized by the smart press because these people are accurately calling election data. Their observations were pretty dang accurate. Even though some advocates called these data people’s observations biased, it turns out that those observations may actually have been biased the opposite direction!

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Perriello elsewhere

Of course, many other folks are reporting the results of Virginia’s 5th Congressional District election and commenting about the race and the candidates, Tom Perriello and Virgil Goode. Here’s a brief, likely incomplete collection.

Please add other sources in the comments.

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Filed under Neighborhood, News, Other sites, Politics

Perriello still up

It’s been a challenge for me to make myself NOT track the changes at the Virginia State Board of Elections. I did O.K. most of today, only checking a time or two. Here’re my latest results as an image that I snagged from the VA SBE this evening:

That looks like ~648 votes at this point. Thanks to everyone who ventured out on Tuesday to express her or his opinion in this election.

Localities are still adjusting their reported results. They are altering vote totals because of provisional ballots, errors with the VERIS computer system, undervotes listed as overvotes (?), paper ballots, failure to enter data on election night, additions to one or the other candidates’ totals, inaccurate reporting from the precincts, and etc. Who knew that there was this much error (in the statistical sense) with the reporting of votes?

I drew these data from the Virginia State Board of Elections, not from CNN, Fox, MSNBC, Mr. Perriello’s office, or etc. Those other sources may have people in the field with laptops and cell phones who are reporting data before (or after!) they are shown in the SBE results (or mishearing what’s being reported by official registrars and SBE officials). There’s lots of room for slippage in this stuff. We have to be patient.

How come, by the way, it’s not the Virginia Commonwealth BoE?

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Filed under Civil rights, Neighborhood, News, Notes and comments, Politics

Perriello’s up

The count has been stable since late afternoon yesterday (the last change was reported about 3:48 PM 5 November), and it shows Mr. Perriello ahead by 31 out of 315,055 votes. Of course, this margin is within the range that triggers a recount, and it is within the range (0.5%) that requires local governments to bear the costs of the recount. The losing candidate (Mr. Goode, in this case) has 10 days to request a recount, but the calendar for those 10 days does not begin until after the election results have been certified by the Virginia State Board of Elections 24 November 2008.

This document summarizes Virginia’s rules for recounts for the November 2008 elections.

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Filed under Civil rights, News, Notes and comments, Politics

More changes

The results in the 5th District seem to be changing rapidly right now. Since the last post, data for several precincts have changed, with some now reporting absentee votes and others reporting corrections. Here’s a link to the changes page that reads from the state board of elections’ data base. When I refresh my browser’s view, I get new data! The difference is now 6 (that’s correct: “six”) votes.

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Filed under Amusements, Neighborhood, News, Politics